Investment appraisal using quantitative risk analysis

Summary, in English

Investment appraisal concerned with investments in fire safety systems is discussed. Particular attention is directed at evaluating, in terms of the Bayesian decision theory, the risk reduction that investment in a fire safety system involves. It is shown how the monetary value of the change from a building design without any specific fire protection system to one including such a system can be estimated by use of quantitative risk analysis, the results of which are expressed in terms of a Risk-adjusted net present value. This represents the intrinsic monetary value of investing in the fire safety system. The method suggested is exemplified by a case study performed in an Avesta Sheffield factory. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

• Författare: Henrik Tehler
• Avdelning/ar: Avdelningen för Brandteknik; Avdelningen för Riskhantering och Samhällssäkerhet
• Publiceringsår: 2002
• Språk: Engelska
• Sidor: 77-91
• Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie: Journal of Hazardous Materials
• Volym: 93
• Issue: 1
• Länkar: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3894(02)00040-7
• Dokumenttyp: Artikel i tidskrift
• Förlag: Elsevier
• Ämne: Other Civil Engineering; Building Technologies
• Nyckelord: decision analysis; investment appraisal; fire; Bayesian updating; protection; risk analysis
• Aktiv: Published
• Forskningsgrupp: LUCRAM (Lund University Center for Risk Analysis and Management
• ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt: ISSN: 1873-3336